Attending LeWeb a couple of weeks ago, many of us saw Forrester CEO George Colony, as Mark Evans from Sysomos put it, “…he threw a bucket of cold water on social media by suggesting people have no more time for social media and, in particular social media services.”
The quote from George Colony read, “We believe social is running out of hours. Forrester believes we are reaching the limit of hours that people can give to social.”
I am certain he is onto something. Even the Global Web Index report on US social media behavior reveals that social users are lightening up on the content creation,
“One consequence of real-time social is a move from creating content to sharing other peoples content. We call this the rise of the “transmitter ecosystem”….We also see that there is a continual fall in most activities and forms of contribution on social networks. This indicates a growing passivity and a realization that social networks will not become the one stop shop for the total internet experience that they have often been hyped as delivering.”
Narrow definitions are confusing
Will people commit more time to the social distractions of reading and updating Facebook-like social networks? Probably not. Time is our premium resource. But that’s a narrow definition of “social.” Most digital experiences will be social in one way or another whether they be utilities like my Jetsetter iPad app, information tools like my new Flipboard iPhone app or entertainment experiences like some of the best YouTube videos (I love the Criminal Minds cast video “Wheels Up”). People will continue to shift time to those things that deliver perceived value.
While I would assume that some media buckets like TV watching are here to stay and are unlikely to be completely cannibalized by new digital activities, the fact that my son watches most of the little TV he likes on his PC may deliver bigger behavior changes down the road than even Forrester can predict.
For brands considering how much to commit to social media as a platform for customer engagement, I would just say two things:
- Most brands are woefully behind the behaviors of their customers in digital and social. While some behaviors may be topping out or slowing growth are you using social media at the same level and with the same time commitment as your customer? Probably plenty of room for growth there.
- If anything, the Forrester POV and The Global Web Index findings tell a story of consumer fatigue on those things that don’t provide enough value. The pressure is on every brand to work hard to deliver content and experiences to their customers that they would find valuable. Relevance will get harder going into 2012.
Just fatigue, and new apps/ priorities. Google+ took the time I used to allocate to TechCrunch and Masable. With Path, I can update Facebook, Twitter and Foursquare at the same time, plus my Path friends. Timeline is pulling me back to Facebook since I want to organize my trips, etc.
@SocialJulio
Posted by: SocialJulio | December 21, 2011 at 04:19 AM
You said, with respect to brands using social media for "customer engagement", "The pressure is on every brand to work hard to deliver content and experiences that they would find valuable."
That is useful advice for brands representing a product or service that IS content. But after that, we must question -- deeply -- the extent to which we are hurting both our brands AND our customers by trying to out-engage competitors (and of course when it comes to customer attention, then EVERYTHING is our competitor including the customer doing nothing at all). The very premise that a brand MUST "engage" customers in social media seems relevant for brands that don't have any other obvious competitive advantage. THAT is what brands ought to spend more time working hard at. Fix what is fundamentally wrong with your product or service such that the only way you can "win" is to suck customers into spending more of their scarce/precious attention/time resources engaging with your content.
The great products, services, causes, etc. encourage and enable us to spend our time doing more of what we REALLY want to do, and that is almost NEVER, "engaging more with your brand". There are major exceptions, of course... If by "content and experiences", the brand marketing is helping me become better at something I really want to become better at, that's a potentially different story.
The social media fatigue is a reflection of people recognizing that once the novelty is gone, we all have limited time to give. To me, most brands that are actively trying to "engage" me simply to benefit from "more engagement" are not my friends. If they were, they would be asking what I am doing "engaging" in their gamified/sticky activities when I COULD be taking a walk, playing with my kids, or coding the next amazing app.
Posted by: Kathy Sierra | December 21, 2011 at 02:57 PM
You, my friend, are so right when you suggest that Colony's definition of "social" is insanely narrow (okay, the "insane" part was my editorializing.)
Putting "social" into such a narrow slice of activity misses the mark entirely on what is truly a transformation in how people interact with peers, brands, family, friends, candidates, issues, you name it.
I'm not a Kool Aid drinker: I think most brands are absolutely clueless about social, the abundance of social media "experts" is an embarrassment to our industry and the rush to build a Facebook/Twitter/Instagram/whatever presence when you don't know WHY you are doing so is idiotic.
My line to clients (yeah, I have lines) is that the social web is not a trend, but it sure as hell is trendy (thoughtless crowd following.) While, ultimately, Facebook could someday go away, user/consumer behavior and expectations have changed and there's no going back.
We gave the little bastards the keys to the car and they're not giving them back.
Thank you for your brilliance. And have a great holiday.
Posted by: Alison Byrne Fields | December 21, 2011 at 08:33 PM
Kathy appreciate your calling out "engage with brands" as a questionable goal or activity and possibly marketers pablum. But I do think any brand who delivers some relevant experience or content (deemed valuable by the individual) via utility, information or entertainment can enhance people's lives and strengthen loyalty even if they are not a content brand. I take it for granted that we are simultaneously making products and services better and better and trying to deliver satisfaction and more on that level. And yes, time is the scarce commodity and brands shouldn't fool themselves that their goal is to occupy all of someone's time (as if they could).
Posted by: John Bell | December 23, 2011 at 05:03 PM